Friday, August 11, 2017

Stirling Workshop on Self-Control and Public Policy September 15th

Please click here to register. Registration is free but spaces are limited so please register in advance.


Stirling Workshop on Self-Control and Public Policy (Friday, September 15th)

Self-control is the human capacity that enables people to control short-term impulses and desires in order to achieve long-term goals. This workshop brings together different perspectives in order to outline the implications of self-control for a range of policy issues spanning the areas of health, education, labour, and welfare policy. The speakers combine theoretical and methodological approaches from economics and psychology in novel ways to generate new approaches to policy problems, move forward in affecting change in these problems, and further uncover the policy implications of self-control.

Themes that will be discussed at the workshop include:

- Measurement of self-control for policy research.
- Capitalising more fully on the information collected in large-scale government surveys to

understand the development of self-control and its lifespan implications.
- Economic, health, and welfare consequences of different degrees of self-control.

- The effectiveness and scalability of interventions to improve self-control.

- Understanding self-control in the context of everyday life and social interactions.

- The relationship between environmental cues, 'nudge' interventions and trait self- control.

Event Programme

08.45-09.15: COFFEE

09.15-09.30: Opening and Registration

09.30-10.00: Ailbhe Booth (UCD) Examining disciplinary perspectives on self-regulation

10.00-10.30: Terry Ng-Knight (UCL) Predictors of self-control during childhood

10.30-11.00: Michael Daly (Stirling) Lifespan outcomes of childhood self-control

11.00-11.30: COFFEE

11.30-12.00: Conny Wollbrant (Stirling; Gothenburg) Time preferences and cross-country resource use

12.00-12.30: Claudia Cerrone (Max Planck, Bonn) Doing it when others do: a strategic model of procrastination

12.30-13.00: Julius Frankenbach (Saarland University) Does self-control training improve self-control? A meta-analysis

13.00-14.00: LUNCH

14.00-14.30: Leonhard Lades (UCD, EnvEcon) Self-control in everyday life

14.30-15.15: Esther Papies (University of Glasgow) Situating interventions to bridge the intention-behaviour gap: The case of healthy eating

15.15-15.30: COFFEE

15.30-16.15: Denise de Ridder (Utrecht University) Self-control, nudging, and health

16.15-17.00: Panel Discussion

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

UCD Post-Doctoral Research Fellow Position in Behavioural Economics

See below for an excellent opportunity to work with our colleague Suzanne Kingston and her team.

UCD Post-Doctoral Research Fellow Level 1 or Level 2, UCD School of Law (Temporary Maternity cover)  - Economics/Psychology/Environmental Governance
Applications are invited for a temporary postdoctoral researcher, UCD Sutherland School of Law. The successful candidate will be offered a fixed-term contract to provide maternity cover for a European Research Council Project until 20 April 2018.

This is an exciting opportunity to play an important role as a postdoctoral researcher, as part of a cutting-edge project investigating the way that laws influence our decisions to engage (or not to engage) in environmentally compliant behaviour in Europe. Funded by the European Research Council, you will be the postdoctoral researcher on the project, and will form part of an interdisciplinary international team of six people, comprising Professor Kingston, 3 Ph.D. students, a research assistant and the postdoctoral researcher.

This appointment may be made at either Post-Doctoral Research Fellow Level 1 or Level 2 depending on the relevant experience and qualifications of the successful candidate.

Closing Date: 17:00hrs (Local Irish Time) Tuesday 25th July 2017.

For further details please visit https://www.ucd.ie/hr/jobvacancies/ (see vacancy number 009518) 

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Economics, Psychology, and Policy Links 17-06-2017

As part of the development of our new group in Dublin, we will be updating the blog over the next few months and I hope to post a lot more. We will launch our new research cluster on September 8th with Professor Peter John as keynote (Details here). Currently, we are in the process of recruiting postdocs and PhD students, and we are starting a new MSc in September. I hope that Dublin will be seen as a vibrant place for the emerging behavioural public policy field.

1. BIT are hiring.

2. The twitter account for the Society for the Advancement of Behavioural Economics is available here

3.  Stirling University are hiring a Professor in Behavioural Science and Health 

4. The Behavioural Economics Guide 2017 is out. This is an excellent and comprehensive overview of behavioural economics across sectors.

5. "Economic Psychology - An Introduction" Textbook by Erich Kirchler and Erik Hoelzl (November 2017)

6. OECD "Tackling Environmental Problems with the Help of Behavioural Insights"  Extensive resources across many areas.

7. Irish government evaluation service primer on starting behavioural trials.

8. Video of Cass Sunstein's recent talk at UCD.

9. First issue of the new journal Behavioural Public Policy, edited by Cass Sunstein, Adam Oliver, and George Akerlof.

10. Peter John interviewed on his new book "How Far to Nudge".

11. Signup page for our July 11th Irish Behavioural Science and Policy network session with Dilip Soman. 

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Temporary Role Research Assistant

Research Assistant Needed for Behavioural Science Research

Applications are invited for an hourly paid role as a Research Assistant located within the UCD Geary Institute. The successful candidate will be offered a part-time role on an hourly basis for 6-8 weeks at 35 hours a week to commence with immediate effect.

The researcher will be based at the Geary Institute and will provide research support, deliverables and project work to Prof Liam Delaney in developing the behavioural science and public policy programme at UCD Geary Institute.

Pay: €10.55 per hour

Please send a cover letter outlining your skills and interest in the area and CV to Emma Barron, emma.barron@ucd.ie
Closing Date: Friday, 30th June 2017 at 17:00.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Temporary Role Qualitative Research Assistance

Research Assistant Needed for Qualitative Research

Applications are invited for an hourly paid role as a Research Assistant located within the UCD Geary Institute. The successful candidate will be offered a part-time role on an hourly basis for 6 weeks at 20 hours a week to commence with immediate effect.

The successful candidate will provide research support, deliverables and project work to Dr Slawa Rokicki on a research project in the field of adolescent reproductive health in Sub-Saharan Africa. The project involves analysing 32 qualitative in-depth interviews about sexual behaviour and contraceptive use conducted with young women in Ghana. The main tasks will include coding of qualitative interview data and literature review.

Pay: €10.55 per hour

Please send applications and CV’s to Dr Slawa Rokicki, slawa.rokicki@ucd.ie
Closing Date: Monday, 12th June 2017 at 17:00
Emma Barron
Geary Institute for Public Policy

University College Dublin

T : (353) - 1 - 7164616

Thursday, May 04, 2017

PhD Scholarships at UCD School of Economics

UCD School of Economics is pleased to announce a call for applications for the 2017-18 PhD Scholarship scheme. The aim of the scheme is to attract applicants of the highest academic standards to participate in the UCD School of Economics PhD programme (details here) and provide them with the training, experience and mentorship necessary to their professional development.

These PhD Scholarships will comprise an annual tax-free annual stipend of between €12,000 and €15,000 plus a full waiver of fees. The scheme is open to both new applicants and existing PhD students, with the understanding that the stipend and fee waiver will continue to be provided to students up to and including their fourth year of PhD studies, subject to their continuing to make satisfactory progress in their studies and meeting the terms and requirements of their scholarship.

Students in receipt of a Scholarship are required to work as tutors in either undergraduate or graduate modules taught by the School of Economics. This will allow PhD students to develop the practical application of their academic skills by ongoing training and experience of tutorial teaching, assessment and pedagogical development. This taught component will amount to no more than 50 hours of teaching during each of our 12-week teaching semesters.

A selection board of School of Economics faculty members will review applications and make its recommendations on selection to the Head of School. Applications will be evaluated and ranked by the Selection Board according to the following criteria:
Academic excellence (transcripts, previous research experience, etc.)
The academic testament of referees;
Quality and clarity of the research proposal;
Fit with the research strengths of the School;
Teaching potential (past teaching experience, English proficiency, etc.);
Availability of other funding to applicant (such as Irish Research Council awards).

Complete applications must be submitted on or before 18 May 2017. New applicants who are short-listed for a scholarship will then be contacting for a short interview, either in person, via phone, or via computer (such as Skype). The school will then conduct interviews with each finalist, either in person, via phone, or via the computer (such as Skype). Scholarships will be awarded on approximately May 31, 2017. Successful applicants have until 15 June 2017 to notify the school of their decision whether or not to accept the scholarship. Additional scholarships may be awarded in June or July depending on availability.

For students who are unsuccessful in applying for a PhD scholarship, the school also offers other forms of financial assistance, including fee waivers, hourly tutoring contracts, and marking exams.

If you are interested in applying for these scholarships, please review the associated terms and conditions carefully.

Click here for the application form. Completed forms should be emailed to economics@ucd.ie

Click here for the terms and conditions for the scholarships.

Wednesday, May 03, 2017

Irish Revenue Randomised Trials

This month the Irish Revenue Commissioners (responsible for tax administration) published the results of 20 randomised trials they have conducted in the area of behavioural design. This is a significant report in terms of Irish public policy and also contributes to the growing international literature in this area. A summary of the report is below. 
While audit and other risk management interventions are effective compliance tools, they can be expensive and time consuming for both Revenue and taxpayers. Targeted treatments using behavioural science can be a complementary and cost-effective tool to improve compliance. A summary of key findings across four behavioural insights is below. 
Deterrence: Deterrence strategies (e.g., highlighting possible sanctions) dissuade taxpayers from non-compliant behaviour. The research confirms that deterrent effects significantly improve taxpayer compliance, particularly when combined with other insights. They impact different taxpayer segments differently. 
Simplification and Salience: Compliance or other behaviours can be enhanced through simpler presentation of information and by drawing attention to key details. For tax administrations, this may involve highlighting the third-party information held, for example through correspondence or the pre-filling of tax returns. Information in any communications should be presented in the most clear and simple way possible, including bolding and centred text. 
Personalisation: International research has shown the potential of more personalised correspondence, which is increasingly becoming a possibility given technological advancements. Revenue trials confirm that personalisation leads to greater and quicker engagement, especially when multiple elements of personalisation are applied. 
Social Norms: The behaviour of others can influence an individual’s choices. Revenue research finds that social norms are generally not effective at influencing behaviour. However, there is limited evidence indicating that these may improve taxpayer compliance when combined with other insights. 
According to a meta-analysis, which weights the result of 20 trials by sample size, the most effective insights tend to be deterrence (+8.0% improvement in targeted behaviour), personalisation (+4.0%) simplification and salience (+3.3%) and social norms (-1.6%). The wording and design of communications can affect taxpayer compliance. Even seemingly insignificant changes to correspondence can significantly change behaviour. While these lessons have mainly been learned from letters, they should be considered in any Revenue communication with taxpayers.

Sunday, April 30, 2017

Behavioural Economics Historical Reference Works

The purpose of this post (which I am updating from time to time) is to start a discussion online and in the research centre about historical works (say pre-1960) that are most worthwhile to read for people interested in contemporary behavioural science and behavioural economics debates. The remit is probably too broad to be wholly coherent but if it leads to some good suggestions for reading that people had not considered before then it is worth doing. Works from centuries or millenia before often have a way of having a recurring influence on modern fields not least evidenced by the recent renewed interest in Aristotle and Greek concepts of well-being in the modern literature. Would be good to get suggestions from people in the comments, by email, in person.

Aristotle's Nichomachean Ethics is clearly a key reference work from antiquity. Will add more on this at a later stage.

Nico Machiavelli's The Prince contains a wealth of insights into influence in the context of complex governance issues.

Adam Smith's The Theory of Moral Sentiments. See also this article on Adam Smith's pedigree as a behavioural economist. A more general tour of the Scottish Enlightenment's role in the development of disciplines such as Economics would be interesting for a future post and/or walking tour. David Hume's Treatise on Human Nature contains a wealth of ideas that are relevant to modern academic debates on decision making, valuation, causality and so on. See this link for a short blogpost I wrote on the Treatise and modern behavioural economics. Thanks to @cathyby on twitter for repeated reminders on the importance of Francis Hutcheson and also the recommendation to include Bernard De Mandeville. The latter's Fable of The Bees is cited across many areas of Economics.

Pretty much anything from JS Mill in particular On LibertyThe Principles of Political Economy and Utilitarianism. Obviously also Bentham.

Emile Durkheim is a forerunner of many literatures relevant to readers here. A very useful UChicago webpage on his work here.

Simmel's Philosophy of Money is often  cited as a historical reference in modern papers on economic psychology. It deals with a staggering array of questions on the philosophy and implications of using money as the medium of exchange.

Schumpeter's History of Economic Analysis would be one of my desert island books. I once ran an informal book club over several sessions on this work. Contains a wealth of information on the many interesting characters that populated debates on issues such as the correct notion of utility over the centuries.

From Schumpeter, the importance of the German Cameralist movement becomes apparent in particular Johann Justi. Many elements of modern thinking about the state improving the health and welfare of citizens in an economic framework come from this movement. Thanks to Charles Larkin for pointing out to me the importance of Wilhelm Roscher in the development of German historical and institutional thought. The development of Christian social economic thinking through the late 1800s and 1900s is an area that contains a huge degree of historical relevance in terms of debates about the role of state intervention. The theological context is obviously not present in modern BE debates but that does not reduce the significance of these works. The development of various forms of European social economic thinking throughout the 20th century sets a vital historical context for understanding how many European countries established their social democracies and in the works that formed the intellectual backdrop of this there are many debates about the freedom and dignity of the individual set against the wider public welfare and profit and innovation in a capitalist system.

Edgeworth's Mathematical Psychics is a classic work and is eerily relevant to modern debates about decision-making despite being published in 1881. David Colander's excellent JEP article on Edgeworth and Fisher is well worth reading.

Lewin "Economics and Psychology: Lessons for Our Own Day From the Early Twentieth Century" documents the interaction between the development of neo-classical marginalist economics and the development of psychology as a separate discipline. See also Bruni and Sugden's 2007 EJ article argues for the historical importance of Pareto in severing the link between economics and psychology.
This article explores parallels between the debate prompted by Pareto's reformulation of choice theory at the beginning of the twentieth century and current controversies about the status of behavioural economics. Before Pareto's reformulation, neoclassical economics was based on theoretical and experimental psychology, as behavioural economics now is. Current ‘discovered preference’ defences of rational-choice theory echo arguments made by Pareto. Both treat economics as a separate science of rational choice, independent of psychology. Both confront two fundamental problems: to find a defensible definition of the domain of economics, and to justify the assumption that preferences are consistent and stable.
Irving Fisher "Is "Utility" the Most Suitable Term for the Concept It is Used to Denote?" gives a strong sense of the early unease at the notion of utility that emerged from the marginalist period.

Daniel Read's "Experienced Utility from Jeremy Bentham to Daniel Kahneman" provides a detailed account of the attempt to measure utility directly over the centuries. Ulrich Witt also reviews the history of utility distinguishing between sensory utilitarianism that seeks to measure utility directly and the more axiomatic form that dominated in the 20th century. 

William James' The Principles of Psychology is often regarded as the first psychology textbook. Again, time-permitting, a later post on contemporaries of James such as Wundt and Fechner would yield a number of relevant works.

Freud's distrust of empirical analysis puts him at odds with a lot of modern methodological thinking. But his books are surely worth reading for any thinking person and the concepts he grappled with have obvious resonance with behavioural economics models of human behaviour.

Frank H, Knight's classic "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit" provides ideas on the role of uncertainty in economics that continue to be highly relevant.

Keynes' General Theory set out many of the themes in what is now beginning to be called behavioural macro.

Karl Polanyi's "The Great Transformation" is a key work across several interdisciplinary disciplines in Economics. It contains a vast range of insights into the development of market societies and the psychological, cultural, and other aspects of market behaviour.

The work of Maurice Allais was written exclusively in French and not widely translated making it all the more remarkable he was awarded the Nobel Prize in 1988. A study of Allais would require a lot of time, patience and linguistic ability but he is clearly an important figure in the history of economic thought relevant to behavioural economics. Paul Samuelson famously stated that “Had Allais's earliest writings been in English, a generation of economic theory would have taken a different course.

As much a warning about excess as anything else, Watson (1913) "Psychology as the Behaviorist Views it" is the classic statement of the behaviourist view of psychology.

Frederick et al's 2002 summary of the literature on time discounting provides an exceptionally useful historical background to the development of ideas in this area from the 1800s onwards.

Veblen's "Theory of the Leisure class" is a classic work on many aspects of consumption and leisure that is still quite regularly cited.

Camerer/Loewenstein's summary of behavioural economics has some great historical examples.

The work of George Katona at the Survey Research Centre at Michigan and the work of Herbert Simon at Carnegie-Mellon is described in this 2003 Journal of Socio-economics article by Hamid Hosseini. The article also provides information and links to a range of other interesting papers and contributions from the first half of the 20th century. The work of Katona and Simon set the foundation of 20th century  behavioural economics. I will add more at a later stage about developments in behavioural economics in the 1950s and 1960s as these are obviously key to understanding the intellectual climate that the great work of people like Kahneman and Tversky emerged from.

Post-war it would be good to talk further about the debates surrounding the development of general equilibrium theory in Economics and the clash between behaviourism and the cognitive revolution in Psychology. Clearly in that period emerges the main building blocks of what was to become behavioural economics. Richard Thaler's MisBehaving is a gripping account of the development of behavioural economics in top US universities in the 70s, 80s, and 90s. 

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Researcher Vacancies at UCD

See below for two research posts working with colleagues at UCD:

(i) Vacancy for Research Scientist in UCD; we are seeking a researcher to contribute to an Irish Research Council (Research for Policy & Society) funded project about understanding well-owners perceptions and awareness of flooding, and informing policy to increase preparedness to reduce the risks of infectious disease outbreaks. Masters or PhD with training/experience in qualitative and/or quantitative research methods required. Salary will reflect qualification and experience. Closing date for application May 3rd. Email eoin.oneill@ucd.ie for further information. Check out the postion at http://www.ucd.ie/hr/jobvacancies/ Job Ref : 009243

(ii) A postdoctoral research fellow in economics is sought to carry out research in energy technology adoption and the societal costs and benefits of a key future energy technology, residential ground source heat pumps (GSHPs), for the case of Ireland. The researcher will be part of the School of Economics in Belfield, UCD.The aim of the project is to carry out an economic assessment of the deployment of GSHPs in Ireland and develop an appropriate policy strategy. The objectives of the project are to:• Develop methodologies to model the potential uptake of GSHP in the residential sector;• Assess the market and economic value of scenarios of various shares of GSHPs;• Advance evidence-based policy recommendations on the development of geothermal energy as part of the renewable energy mix in Ireland. Salary: €34,975 - €42,181 per annum Appointment on the above range will be dependent on qualifications and experience. Prior to application, further information (including application procedure) should be obtained from the UCD Job Vacancies website: http://www.ucd.ie/hr/jobvacancies.

Friday, April 21, 2017

2017 UCD PhD Conference in Behavioural Science


2017  PhD Conference in Behavioural Science 

 Thursday, the 30th of November 2017
UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy



The UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy is pleased to announce our PhD Student Conference in Behavioural Science for 2017 in collaboration with the Stirling University Management School. This continues two successful annual events held at Stirling. For information about last year's PhD conference click here. The PhD conference will be held at University College Dublin on November 30th and will be followed by the 10th annual Irish economics and psychology conference on December 1st. Attendees to the PhD conference on November 30th are also welcome to attend the December 1 workshop. Our keynote speakers will be Professor Don Ross (UCC) and Professor Jennifer Sheehy Skeffington (LSE). 

The 2017 PhD Conference aims to give PhD students in Behavioural Science the opportunity to meet other researchers, to present their work, and get feedback from peers and researchers in the field. The PhD conference will deal with all areas of behavioural science (or behavioural economics, economic psychology, judgement and decision making, depending on your terminological preference). Topics include, but are not limited to
  • Nudging and Behavioural Policies 
  • Evaluation of Behavioural Policies
  • Mechanisms of Behavioural Interventions
  • Inter-temporal Choice
  • Self-control
  • Risk Preferences
  • Social Preferences
  • Heuristics
  • Personality and Economics
  • Subjective Well-Being
  • Identity in Economics
  • Emotions and Decision Making 
  • Behavioural Medicine
  • Early Influences on Later Life Outcomes
  • Behavioural Science and the Labour Market
  • Research Methods in Behavioural Science 
Speakers will present their research followed by a discussion. There will be no conference fee and a social dinner will be provided for attendees on the evening of November 30th. Please go to this link to submit an abstract for the conference. 
  • September 30: Abstract submission deadline (up to 500 words).
  • October 10: Notification of acceptance.
We look forward to welcoming you to Dublin. If you have questions, feel free to send an email to liam.delaney@ucd.ie 

Sunday, April 16, 2017

Journal of Behavioural Economics for Policy

The first issue of the new Journal of Behavioural Economics for Policy is available here, See the papers below. Along with the new Behavioral Public Policy journal mentioned in the previous post, this makes a substantial addition to the development of this field.

Behavioral economics: from advising organizations to nudging individuals(90 kB)
Floris Heukelom, Esther-Mirjam Sent | JBEP 1(1) Article

Requiring choice is a form of paternalism (79 kB)
Cass R. Sunstein | JBEP 1(1) Article

An unhealthy attitude? New insight into the modest effects of the NLEA (294 kB)
Mark Patterson, Saurabh Bhargava, George Loewenstein | JBEP 1(1) Article

Experts in policy land - Insights from behavioral economics on improving experts’ advice for policy-makers (84 kB)
Michelle Baddeley | JBEP 1(1) Article

Eliciting real-life social networks: a guided tour (647 kB)
Pablo Brañas-Garza, Natalia Jiménez, Giovanni Ponti | JBEP 1(1) Article

Policy making with behavioral insight (138 kB)
Shabnam Mousavi, Reza Kheirandish | JBEP 1(1) Article

Tax compliance and information provision - A field experiment with small firms(147 kB)
Philipp Doerrenberg, Jan Schmitz | JBEP 1(1) Article

Policy consequences of pay-for-performance and crowding-out (87 kB)
Bruno Frey | JBEP 1(1) Article

To support trust and trustworthiness: punish, communicate, both, neither?(130 kB)
Rattaphon Wuthisatian, Mark Pingle, Mark Nichols | JBEP 1(1) Article

Happiness and economics: insights for policy from the new ‘science’ of well-being (96 kB)
Carol Graham | JBEP 1(1) Article

Behavioral economics and austrian economics: Lessons for policy and the prospects of nudges (94 kB)
Roberta Muramatsu, Fabio Barbieri | JBEP 1(1) Article

Friday, April 14, 2017

Behavioural Public Policy Journal

The new journal "Behavioural Public Policy" edited by Adam Oliver, Cass Sunstein, and George Akerlof is a very welcome addition to the intellectual environment in this area. Forthcoming article titles for 2017 are below, including many leading figures in the field.

Sarah Conly: ‘Paternalism, Coercion, and the Unimportance of (Some) Liberties’.

Shaun Hargreaves Heap: ‘Behavioural Public Policy – The Constitutional Approach’.

David Hirshleifer and Siew Hong Teoh: ‘How Psychological Bias Shapes Accounting and Financial Regulation’.

Michael Jones-Lee and Terje Aven: ‘Weighing Private Preferences in Public Sector Safety Decisions: Some Reflections on the Practical Application of the Willingness to Pay Approach’.

Dan Kahan, Ellen Peters, Erica Dawson and Paul Slovic: ‘Motivated Numeracy and Enlightened Self-Government’.

George Loewenstein and Nick Chater: ‘Putting Nudges in Perspective’.

Pete Lunn and Aine Ni Choisdealbha: ‘The Case for Laboratory Experiments in Behavioural Public Policy’.

Sunita Sah: ‘Policy Solutions to Conflicts of Interest: The Power of Professional Norms’.

Barry Schwartz and Nathan Cheek: ‘Choice, Freedom, and Well Being: Considerations for Public Policy’.

Cass Sunstein: ‘Nudges that Fail’.

Thursday, April 13, 2017

Society for the Advancement of Behavioural Economics

The Society for the Advancement of Behavioural Economics (SABE) has a new website and twitter page. I will be the country representative for Ireland and we will work with SABE to coordinate the events we are hosting here with the wider global network. SABE is also taking submissions for the recently formed Journal of Behavioural Economics for Policy and the first issue is available here.

Monday, April 10, 2017

Nudging and Boosting: Steering or Empowering Good Decisions

It’s a great pleasure to have Professor Till Grüne-Yanoff from the Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), Stockholm in Stirling on Tuesday April 11. He will give a talk on Tuesday this week (11th April 2017) at 2pm. He will focus on “Boosts” whose objective is to foster people’s competence to make their own choices. The talk will take place in the Stirling University "Court Room" on the fourth floor of the Cottrell Building. All are welcome.

“Nudging and Boosting: Steering or Empowering Good Decisions”.

Abstract:

Insights from psychology and behavioral economics into how people make decisions have attracted policymakers’ attention. These insights can inform the design of nonregulatory and nonmonetary policy interventions—as well as more traditional fiscal and coercive measures. To date, much of the discussion of behaviorally informed approaches has emphasized “nudges,” that is, interventions designed to steer people in a particular direction while preserving their freedom of choice. Yet, behavioral science also provides support for a distinct kind of nonfiscal and noncoercive intervention, namely, “boosts.” Their objective is to foster people’s competence to make their own choices—that is, to exercise their own agency. Building on this distinction, we further elaborate how boosts are conceptually distinct from nudges: The two kinds of interventions differ with respect to (i) their immediate intervention targets, (ii) their roots in different research programs, (iii) the causal pathways through which they affect behavior, (iv) their respective assumptions about human cognitive architecture, (v) the reversibility of their effects, (vi) their programmatic ambitions, and (vii) their normative implications. We discuss each of these dimensions, provide an initial taxonomy of different boosts, and address some possible misconceptions about boosts.

Saturday, April 08, 2017

Jobs and Studentships in Behavioural Science at UCD

1. See this link for some details of our new behavioural science and policy group at UCD

2. See this link for information on part-time and/or employer sponsored options for our new MSc in Behavioural Economics

3. We are currently advertising a 2-year postdoctoral position with a closing date of May 31st 2017

4. There are a number of PhD scholarships available at the UCD School of Economics, including in this research area.

5. Details of the MSc in Behavioural Economics are available here.

Friday, April 07, 2017

Hume's Treatise of Human Nature and Behavioural Economics

I posted before on a remarkable quotation from the Treatise of Human Nature. The quote captures beautifully one of the core areas of behavioural economics, namely present bias and the role of various mechanisms to promote future oriented and otherwise productive decision-making. 
"In reflecting on any action, which I am to perform a twelve-month hence, I always resolve to prefer the greater good, whether at that time it will be more contiguous or remote; nor does any difference in that particular make a difference in my present intentions and resolutions. My distance from the final determination makes all those minute differences vanish, nor am I affected by any thing, but the general and more discernible qualities of good and evil. But on my nearer approach, those circumstances, which I at first over-looked, begin to appear, and have an influence on my conduct and affections. A new inclination to the present good springs up, and makes it difficult for me to adhere inflexibly to my first purpose and resolution. This natural infirmity I may very much regret, and I may endeavour, by all possible means, to free my self from it. I may have recourse to study and reflection within myself; to the advice of friends; to frequent meditation, and repeated resolution: And having experienced how ineffectual all these are, I may embrace with pleasure any other expedient, by which I may impose a restraint upon myself, and guard against this weakness."
As I noted in the previous post, the Scottish Enlightenment is a historical antecedent to the development of a wide range of modern thought. Ashraf, Camerer and Loewenstein's "Adam Smith, Behavioral Economist" provides an account of the ideas of one of the era's main figures. As well as Smith, over the years I have become increasingly struck by how much of the philosophical essence of the modern behavioural turn in economics is captured in Hume's Treatise of Human Nature.



The Treatise is divided into three books: "Of the Understanding", "Of the Passions", and "Of Morals". The final sentence of the introduction already gives a sense of the grounded empiricism that characterises his approach and has such an affinity with current emerging literatures.
"We must therefore glean up our experiments in this science from a cautious observation of human life, and take them as they appear in the common course of the world, by men's behaviour in company, in affairs, and in their pleasures. Where experiments of this kind are judiciously collected and compared, we may hope to establish on them a science which will not be inferior in certainty, and will be much superior in utility to any other of human comprehension."
Book 1 examines how people make sense of the world and establish causal connections and other relationships. It is one of the founding documents of modern cognitive science and, by implication, the type of behavioural economics work that grew from the cognitive revolution. The difficulty in establishing causal ordering in the world and the necessity for humans to attempt to do this based on their limited experiences is of course at the essence of behavioural accounts of how people make economic decisions. Furthermore, the extent to which decisions are influenced by the interplay of reasoning and emotions is core to the Treatise, with the second book dealing in detail with the role of "passions" in human decision making. As with Smith's "Theory of Moral Sentiments", Hume deals with a variety of human emotions and their effects. The call by Jon Elster to bring emotions back into the heart of the study of human decision making finds a philosophical home in this book.

To some extent the relation of Hume to modern behavioural economics and behavioural science could be seen as coming through the implications he had for the psychological literatures that emerged from philosophy in the 20th century. For example, to the extent that Hume's work is the philosophical antecedent to cognition research, then he obviously affected behavioural work through this. But I think, the third book of the Treatise, from where I found the original quote shown above, has a more direct link. In this book, Hume moves from describing human nature to discussions of what we should do. In particular, he examines the role of government, law and institutions in pushing people toward the common and longer-term good. The style of reasoning is almost directly related to modern behavioural theories of commitment devices and related mechanisms of policy. Section VIII "Of the origin of government" shows this most closely. As well as the quote above that motivated this post, see also below (and apologies for the length). The passage below directly precedes the first quote above. It is a remarkable argument for the limits of individual decision making and the importance of wider deliberative action to promote both common interests and long-term welfare. In total, the interplay in Hume of reason and emotions in influencing decisions, the problems of limited understanding of the world, our tendency toward short-termism, and the role of institutions as co-ordinating mechanisms, as well as his belief in the importance of grounded empiricism, makes his work in my view the most cogent philosophical antecedent to current behavioural economics and behavioural science and policy work. This was my motivation for using "Back to Hume" as the title of a recent lecture.
"Nothing is more certain, than that men are, in a great measure, governed by interest, and that even when they extend their concern beyond themselves, it is not to any great distance; nor is it usual for them, in common life, to look farther than their nearest friends and acquaintance. It is no less certain, that it is impossible for men to consult, their interest in so effectual a manner, as by an universal and inflexible observance of the rules of justice, by which alone they can preserve society, and keep themselves from falling into that wretched and savage condition, which is commonly represented as the state of nature. And as this interest, which all men have in the upholding of society, and the observation of the rules of justice, is great, so is it palpable and evident, even to the most rude and uncultivated of human race; and it is almost impossible for any one, who has had experience of society, to be mistaken in this particular. Since, therefore, men are so sincerely attached to their interest, and their interest is so much concerned in the observance of justice, and this interest is so certain and avowed; it may be asked, how any disorder can ever arise in society, and what principle there is in human nature so powerful as to overcome so strong a passion, or so violent as to obscure so clear a knowledge?
It has been observed, in treating of the passions, that men are mightily governed by the imagination, and proportion their affections more to the light, under which any object appears to them, than to its real and intrinsic value. What strikes upon them with a strong and lively idea commonly prevails above what lies in a more obscure light; and it must be a great superiority of value, that is able to compensate this advantage. Now as every thing, that is contiguous to us, either in space or time, strikes upon us with such an idea, it has a proportional effect on the will and passions, and commonly operates with more force than any object, that lies in a more distant and obscure light. Though we may be fully convinced, that the latter object excels the former, we are not able to regulate our actions by this judgment; but yield to the sollicitations of our passions, which always plead in favour of whatever is near and contiguous.
This is the reason why men so often act in contradiction to their known interest; and in particular why they prefer any trivial advantage, that is present, to the maintenance of order in society, which so much depends on the observance of justice. The consequences of every breach of equity seem to lie very remote, and are not able to counter-ballance any immediate advantage, that may be reaped from it. They are, however, never the less real for being remote; and as all men are, in some degree, subject to the same weakness, it necessarily happens, that the violations of equity must become very frequent in society, and the commerce of men, by that means, be rendered very dangerous and uncertain. You have the same propension, that I have, in favour of what is contiguous above what is remote. You are, therefore, naturally carried to commit acts of injustice as well as me. Your example both pushes me forward in this way by imitation, and also affords me a new reason for any breach of equity, by shewing me, that I should be the cully of my integrity, if I alone should impose on myself a severe restraint amidst the licentiousness of others.
This quality, therefore, of human nature, not only is very dangerous to society, but also seems, on a cursory view, to be incapable of any remedy. The remedy can only come from the consent of men; and if men be incapable of themselves to prefer remote to contiguous, they will never consent to any thing, which would oblige them to such a choice, and contradict, in so sensible a manner, their natural principles and propensities. Whoever chuses the means, chuses also the end; and if it be impossible for us to prefer what is remote, it is equally impossible for us to submit to any necessity, which would oblige us to such a method of acting.
But here it is observable, that this infirmity of human nature becomes a remedy to itself, and that we provide against our negligence about remote objects, merely because we are naturally inclined to that negligence. When we consider any objects at a distance, all their minute distinctions vanish, and we always give the preference to whatever is in itself preferable, without considering its situation and circumstances. This gives rise to what in an improper sense we call reason, which is a principle, that is often contradictory to those propensities that display themselves upon the approach of the object."

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

Lecture on Identity, Motivation and Incentives

I am currently giving a set of lectures as part of modules on behavioural economics in Stirling and Dublin. I am posting brief informal summaries of some of these lectures on the blog to generate discussion. Thanks to Mark Egan for a lot of help in putting these together online. 

The section on Identity, Motivation and Incentives contains a lot of interlocking aspects. Many of these topics are very heavily connected to the idea that emotions influence behaviour and peoples responses to outcomes and we will revisit some of these ideas in the next topic - also many of them are connected to other topics in the course such as rationality more broadly and well-being, which we will look at also. 

1. Introduction

The basic idea behind the lecture is that self-interest is generally conceived as the main motivation for different types of behaviour such as saving, investing, working and so on but that, increasingly, behavioural economics is examining how other motivations such as altruism and the desire to conform might influence economic behaviour and outcomes. The first point we make in the lecture is that self-interest is an "add-on" to rationality. Technically, it is quite possible to be rational, as outlined in the first few lectures, and also be motivated by concern for others and so on. However, there are a number of points during the lecture where wider influences on behaviour clash with the idea that people are rational, as defined by having stable preferences and making consistent choices. A way of thinking about this topic is to ask some questions like: do I care about other people outside my family so much that I would genuinely give up things to help them? Do I change my core preferences as those around me change theirs? Would I be independent in situations where I was asked to do something wrong by someone in a position of authority?


2. The influence of peers and groups
The first aspect of motivation that goes beyond self-interest is the idea of herding and peer effects. There is a high correlation between an individual's behaviour in any economic domain and the behaviour of their peer group. We looked at the very famous "Dartmouth paper" that showed that the pre-college characteristics of flatmates that students were randomly assigned to live with had big effects on their behaviour. If you are randomly assigned to someone who drank before coming to college, you are more likely to drink during college - similarly, you are more likely to study if you are assigned to someone who did well at school. These results raise questions about the idea of fully stable economic preferences. 

Fig 1. The set-up
Moving on from this, we examined the idea that "group processes" may influence behaviour. The most striking example of this is Milgram's 'Behavioural Study of Obedience'. During the most famous of these experiments, Stanley Milgrim had 40 male participants between the ages of 20 and 50 play the role of 'teacher' to the 'learner' in the adjacent room. In the room with the teacher was a stern looking experimenter wearing an official looking coat (Fig 1). The task of the teacher was to administer increasingly powerful electric shocks to the learner whenever he made a mistake on the ostensible memory task he was working on - in reality the learner was a confederate working with the experimenter. There were no real electric shocks being administered, although the learner was trained to react to them as if they were real.

Anticipating that many of the participants would become uncomfortable as they heard increasing pained screams from the next room, the experimenters were allowed to prod them. In the case of objections, the experimenter told the teacher "Please continue". If objections continued, they would reply in the following order: "The experiment requires that you continue", followed by "It is absolutely essential that you continue" and lastly "You have no other choice, you must go on".

Fig 2. The results
Before running the experiment, Milgram polled 40 psychiatrists who agreed that "only 0.1% of the subjects would administer the highest shock on the board" - essentially it was thought that only a psychopath would continue all the way to the end where the voltage level was marked XXX and clearly hazardous. In reality (Fig 2), almost 2/3rds of participants went all the way to the end, even when some of them were clearly uncomfortable with the process.

It seems, from a long line of psychological research, that people will do extreme things well beyond what they would predict they would if they are told to do so by someone in a position of authority. In terms of historical context this study came out in the same year as Eichmann in Jerusalem, which popularized the concept of the 'banality of evil'.

As an addition factor, conformity to norms and reaction to persuasion may also have complex effects on individual behaviour. The Zimbardo prison experiment is a classic example of how randomly assigned social categories can have strong effects on people's actions.


3. Motivation to Behave in Group Situations

Fig 3. The Ultimatum Game
We focus on complex social and economic situations, as are represented in the Prisoner's Dilemma and Ultimatum (Fig 3) bargaining games which are two of the most famous experiments in economics.

The key paper for this topic is the paper by Ernst Fehr on Trust. While this paper does not discuss every aspect of how people behave in group situations, it serves as a good example of how this works and is sufficient to use to explain these concepts. Fehr provides a very useful working definition of trust and explains how trust can help to solve social problems that mirror those of the prisoner dilemma. He argues that trust, in some sense, involves processing risk but that it involves more than just risk preferences. Specifically, trust contains elements of an emotional engagement with others and that "betrayal aversion" can lead people to feel a lot worse if they lose in a game involving trust than simply if they lose a gamble. This is a key insight for behaviour economics; namely that one solution to cooperative games is that people trust each other and reach the pareto-optimal solution.

Fehr argues that countries with better social institutions arguably grow better and have better all-round outcomes, basically because in such countries it is easier to do business and interact in economic and social contexts because there is a basic degree of confidence in other people. We have spoken a lot about the difference between libertarianism and paternalism. This is another concept that we will talk a lot about - namely that markets are not perfect and a pure libertarian solution has many flaws but the state is not the only solution. The basic idea is that many economic problems are solved not by contracts but by social norms and implicit cooperation that is regulated not by laws or by fines but rather by complex social emotions such as trust. Trust is the example you should focus on, but in the next section of the lecture we will look at other examples of complex emotions and motivations that regulate economic behaviour in different ways. The basic idea is still the same.

4. Other Emotions & Economic Behaviour

We will look at this topic in more depth in the Emotion lecture. One consequence of relaxing the assumption of pure self-interest as a driver and looking at a broader range of emotions is that we open up a number of facets of human economic behaviour and attitudes that may have seemed outside of the realm of economics beforehand. As discussed above, trust and the emotions surrounding it are involved in some of the most important non-financial motivations of behaviour - but there are many other different types of motivations and emotions that arguably play a role in regulating complex economic situations involving groups. A few of them are discussed below:

(i) Discrimination and Hate: One consequence of being in different groups is that we may form a preference for our group over other groups. I referred in the lecture to a series of experiments that show that women and ethnic minorities are less likely to get called back to job interviews compared to whites even when the characteristics of each group have been randomly assigned on the CVs. Furthermore, we know that many people dislike people not of their own ethnicity and that many people favour restrictions in trade and migration. The real question (and one we will speak about in the Emotion lecture also) is whether such preferences are actually just irrational hangovers from the fact that we are basically animals with faulty cognitive equipment or whether they are rational preferences (albeit selfish preferences). For example, I may oppose globalization because of an irrational fear of foreigners but I may also oppose it because my industry has lots of nice protections from competition that would be eroded if restrictions were lifted. The Ku Klux Klan may have outwardly behaved in very silly and deplorable ways but as well as spreading hate it is arguable that their members may have been using the situation to improve their economic position.

(ii) Abhorrence: We discussed the idea that we may have motivations beyond just self-interest. For example, we may have strong beliefs that some markets simply should not exist. Al Roth, who won the Nobel Prize partly for his work on market design in organ donation, has a paper called "Repugnance as a constraint on markets" that addresses this in the context of whether it should be legal for a person to sell their own organs. 

(iii) Reference Effects: Another consequence of being in groups is that we evaluate ourselves relative to others. We will look at this in more depth in the well-being lecture.

(iv) Intrinsic Motivation: As discussed by Fehr and Falk and others, many people engage in tasks because they are intrinsically interested. Furthermore, people may have a desire to keep control over their own behaviour. 


5. Identity & Economics
The key paper for this is the paper on Economics and Identity by Akerlof and Kranton. This paper takes the view that looking at identity is vital to understand a wide range of economic phenomenon such as welfare dependency, ghettos, integration into the labour market, globalisation and economic growth. Identity emerges from the social categories we identify with or are members of by default. They outline a very simple model, which we will cover in the lecture, where membership of social categories enters directly into utility functions and use this to explain a range of economic phenomena such as gender discrimination 


Recommended Readings:
2. Akerlof (1998), Men without Children, The Economic Journal.
4. Fehr (2008), On the economics and biology of trust, IZA Discussion Paper.
3. Fehr & Falk (2001), Psychological Foundations of Incentives, Schumpeter Lecture at the European Economic Association Meeting.
4. Falk, Fehr & Fischbacher (2005), Driving Forces Behind Informal Sanctions, Econometrica.
5. Falk & Kosfeld (2006), The Hidden Costs of Control, American Economic Review.
6. Andreoni (1995), Cooperation in Public-Goods Experiments: Kindness or Confusion?, American Economic Review.
7. Milgram (1963), Behavioral Study of Obedience, Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology.
8. Sacerdote (2001), Peer effects with random assignment: results for Dartmouth roommates, Quarterly Journal of Economics.

Supplementary Material:

Cass Sunstein at UCD - Video

The video of Professor Cass Sunstein's recent talk "New Directions in Behaviourally Informed Policy" at UCD is available at this link and is embedded below. The event was hosted jointly by the UCD College of Social Science and UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy in conjunction with the Irish Behavioural Science and Policy Network.




Biography

Cass R. Sunstein is currently the Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard. From 2009 to 2012, he was Administrator of the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs. He is the founder and director of the Program on Behavioral Economics and Public Policy at Harvard Law School. Mr. Sunstein has testified before congressional committees on many subjects, and he has been involved in constitution-making and law reform activities in a number of nations. Mr. Sunstein is author of many articles and books, including Republic.com (2001), Risk and Reason (2002), Why Societies Need Dissent (2003), The Second Bill of Rights (2004), Laws of Fear: Beyond the Precautionary Principle (2005), Worst-Case Scenarios (2001), Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness (with Richard H. Thaler, 2008), Simpler: The Future of Government (2013) and most recently Why Nudge? (2014) and Conspiracy Theories and Other Dangerous Ideas (2014). He is now working on group decisionmaking and various projects on the idea of liberty

Relevant Readings: 

Professor Sunstein's publications are available on his website 

His recent book "Ethics of Influence" covers many of the themes of his talk. 

We put together a reading list on behavioural science and public policy for the audience. It is geared toward the Irish environment but the majority of the links are broadly relevant. See also here for a wider set of readings on the debates surrounding nudging.

The mailing list for the Irish Behavioural Science and Policy Network can be signed up at this link. We will host several more meetings this year.

Details of our new MSc in Behavioural Economics at UCD are available at this link.  

Thursday, March 23, 2017

Behavioual Science & Health: Links and Resources

I spoke recently at several venues on behavioural economics, behavioural science, and health. Below is a sample of useful papers on these areas, again intended to stimulate some discussion in the Irish context. The interplay between disciplines such as health psychology, public health, behavioural medicine, and behavioural economics is a particularly interesting discussion to have. Furthermore, it would be good to discuss further the extent to which behavioural research and teaching should be embedded into medical training in Ireland.  Thanks again to Sarah Breathnach who is helping on compiling resources for this blog. 

General Papers

Behavioural Economics & Health: Kessler & Zhang (2014)

Behavioral Economics combines the insights of Economics and Psychology to identify how individuals deviate from the standard assumptions of economic theory and to build systematic deviations into improved models of human behavior. These models allow researchers to better describe and predict individual behavior. Lessons from Behavioral Economics can be leveraged to design large-scale public health interventions and achieve policy goals. This chapter begins with a broad overview of Behavioral Economics and identifies settings in which policy makers may wish to intervene in health decisions. The rest of the chapter explores four major topic areas within Behavioral Economics — reward incentives, information and salience, context and framing, and social forces — and investigates their influence on health behaviors including medication adherence, obesity and weight control, and medical donation. Within each of the four topic areas we discuss the relevant predictions of standard economic theory, we provide evidence of the behavioral forces that lead individuals to deviate from these predictions, and then we describe various public health interventions that have leveraged the lessons of Behavioral Economics to achieve policy goals.

Kessler, J. B., & Zhang, C. Y. (2014). Behavioral Economics and Health. Paper for Oxford Textbook of Public Health. Available at: http://assets.wharton.upenn.edu/~juddk/papers/KesslerZhang_BehavioralEconomicsHealth.pdf

Behavioral Economics and Health Economics. Frank (2014)

The health sector is filled with institutions and decision-making circumstances that create friction in markets and cognitive errors by decision makers. This paper examines the potential contributions to health economics of the ideas of behavioral economics. The discussion presented here focuses on the economics of doctor-patient interactions and some aspects of quality of care. It also touches on issues related to insurance and the demand for health care. The paper argues that long standing research impasses may be aided by applying concepts from behavioral economics.

Frank, R. G. (2004). Behavioral economics and health economics (No. w10881). National Bureau of Economic Research. Available from http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.314.817&rep=rep1&type=pdf

The Behavioral Economics of Health and Health Care (2013)

People often make decisions in health care that are not in their best interest, ranging from failing to enroll in health insurance to which they are entitled, to engaging in extremely harmful behaviors. Traditional economic theory provides a limited tool kit for improving behavior because it assumes that people make decisions in a rational way, have the mental capacity to deal with huge amounts of information and choice, and have tastes endemic to them and not open to manipulation. Melding economics with psychology, behavioral economics acknowledges that people often do not act rationally in the economic sense. It therefore offers a potentially richer set of tools than provided by traditional economic theory to understand and influence behaviors. Only recently, however, has it been applied to health care. This article provides an overview of behavioral economics, reviews some of its contributions, and shows how it can be used in health care to improve people's decisions and health.

Rice, T. (2013). The behavioral economics of health and health care. Annual review of public health, 34, 431-447.

Asymmetric Paternalism to Improve Health Behaviors (2007).

Individual behavior plays a central role in the disease burden faced by society. Many major health problems in the United States and other developed nations, such as lung cancer, hypertension, and diabetes, are exacerbated by unhealthy behaviors. Modifiable behaviors such as tobacco use, overeating, and alcohol abuse account for nearly one-third of all deaths in the United States.1,2 Moreover, realizing the potential benefit of some of the most promising advances in medicine, such as medications to control blood pressure, lower cholesterol levels, and prevent stroke, has been stymied by poor adherence rates among patients.3 For example, by 1 year after having a myocardial infarction, nearly half of patients prescribed cholesterol-lowering medications have stopped taking them.4 Reducing morbidity and mortality may depend as much on motivating changes in behavior as on developing new treatments.5

Loewenstein, G., Brennan, T., & Volpp, K. G. (2007). Asymmetric paternalism to improve health behaviors. Jama, 298(20), 2415-2417. Available from http://192.70.175.129/clics/clics2008a/commsumm.nsf/b4a3962433b52fa787256e5f00670a71/853e394f84ba01f8872573ef006ec053/$FILE/080214%20Attach%20H.pdf


Health-Related Behaviour Change Papers

Some current dimensions of the behavioral economics of health-related behavior change (2016).

Health-related behaviors such as tobacco, alcohol and other substance use, poor diet and physical inactivity, and risky sexual practices are important targets for research and intervention. Health-related behaviors are especially pertinent targets in the United States, which lags behind most other developed nations on common markers of population health. In this essay we examine the application of behavioral economics, a scientific discipline that represents the intersection of economics and psychology, to the study and promotion of health-related behavior change. More specifically, we review what we consider to be some core dimensions of this discipline when applied to the study health-related behavior change. Behavioral economics (1) provides novel conceptual systems to inform scientific understanding of health behaviors, (2) translates scientific understanding into practical and effective behavior-change interventions, (3) leverages varied aspects of behavior change beyond increases or decreases in frequency, (4) recognizes and exploits trans-disease processes and interventions, and (5) leverages technology in efforts to maximize efficacy, cost effectiveness, and reach. These dimensions are overviewed and their implications for the future of the field discussed.

Bickel, W. K., Moody, L., & Higgins, S. T. (2016). Some current dimensions of the behavioral economics of health-related behavior change. Preventive medicine92, 16-23. Available from https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Warren_Bickel/publication/303829918_Some_Current_Dimensions_of_the_Behavioral_Economics_of_Health-Related_Behavior_Change/links/577e820a08aeaa6988b0cbc1.pdf


‘Nudging’ behaviours in healthcare: insights from behavioural economics (2015).

Since the creation of the Behavioural Insight Team (BIT) in 2010, the word “nudge” has become a popular one in social and public policy. According to policy makers and managers, applications of behavioural economics to public sector management results in increased policy efficiency and savings. In the present article, we offer a critical perspective on the topic and discuss how the application of behavioural economics can foster innovative healthcare management. We first review behavioural economics principles, and show how these can be used in healthcare management. Second, we discuss the methodological aspects of applying behavioural economics principles. Finally, we discuss limitations and current issues within the field.

Voyer, B. G. (2015). ‘Nudging’behaviours in healthcare: Insights from behavioural economics. British Journal of Healthcare Management, 21(3), 130-135. Available from: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/61744/1/Voyer_%E2%80%98Nudging%E2%80%99%20behaviours%20in%20healthcare%20insights%20from%20behavioural%20economics.pdf


Decision-Based Disorders: The Challenge of Dysfunctional Health Behavior and the Need for a Science of Behavior Change. (2017)

Dysfunctional health behavior is a contemporary challenge, exemplified by the increasingly significant portion of health problems stemming from people’s own behavior and decision making. The challenge not only includes the direct consequences of unhealthy behavioral patterns but also their origins and the creation of policies that effectively decrease their frequency. A framework rooted in behavioral economics identifies the processes and mechanisms underlying poor health. Two behavioral economic processes, economic demand and delay discounting, are discussed in detail. Through continued development, this behavioral economic framework can guide improved outcomes in treatment and policies related to dysfunctional health behavior. Approaches are evolving to alter demand and discounting. Current and prospective policies aimed at decreasing unhealthy behavior may profit from such research.

Bickel, W. K., Pope, D. A., Moody, L. N., Snider, S. E., Athamneh, L. N., Stein, J. S., & Mellis, A. M. (2017). Decision-Based Disorders: The Challenge of Dysfunctional Health Behavior and the Need for a Science of Behavior Change. Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 2372732216686085.

Health Behavior Change: Moving from Observation to Intervention (2017).

How can progress in research on health behavior change be accelerated? Experimental medicine (EM) offers an approach that can help investigators specify the research questions that need to be addressed and the evidence needed to test those questions. Whereas current research draws predominantly on multiple overlapping theories resting largely on correlational evidence, the EM approach emphasizes experimental tests of targets or mechanisms of change and programmatic research on which targets change health behaviors and which techniques change those targets. There is evidence that engaging particular targets promotes behavior change; however, systematic studies are needed to identify and validate targets and to discover when and how targets are best engaged. The EM approach promises progress in answering the key question that will enable the science of health behavior change to improve public health: What strategies are effective in promoting behavior change, for whom, and under what circumstances?

Sheeran, P., Klein, W. M., & Rothman, A. J. (2017). Health behavior change: Moving from observation to intervention. Annual Review of Psychology68, 573-600.

Behavioral economic incentives to improve adherence to antiretroviral medication (2017).

Objective: Fixed incentives have been largely unsuccessful in improving adherence to antiretroviral medication. Therefore, we evaluate whether small incentives based on behavioral economic theory can increase adherence to antiretroviral medication among treatment-mature adults in Kampala, Uganda.
Design: A randomized control trial design tests whether providing small incentives based on either attending timely clinic visits (intervention group 1) or achieving high medication adherence (intervention group 2) can increase antiretroviral adherence. Antiretroviral adherence is measured by medical event monitoring system (MEMS) caps.
Methods: Overall, 155 HIV-infected men and women age 19-78 were randomized into one of two intervention groups and received small prizes of US $1.50 awarded through a drawing conditional on either attending scheduled clinic appointments or achieving at least 90% antiretroviral adherence. The control group received the usual standard of care.
Results: Preliminary results based on pooling the intervention groups showed individuals receiving incentives were 23.7 percentage points more likely to achieve 90% antiretroviral adherence compared with the control group [95% confidence interval (CI), 6.7-40.7%]. Specifically, 63.3% (95% CI, 52.9-72.8%) of participants in the pooled intervention groups maintained at least 90% mean adherence during the first 9 months of the intervention, compared with 39.6% (95% CI, 25.8-54.7%) in the control group.
Conclusion: Small prize incentives resulted in a statistically significant increase in antiretroviral adherence. Although more traditional fixed incentives have not produced the desired results, these findings suggest that small incentives based on behavioral economic theory may be more effective in motivating long-term adherence among treatment-mature adults.

Linnemayr, S., Stecher, C., & Mukasa, B. (2017). Behavioral economic incentives to improve adherence to antiretrovirals: early evidence from a randomized controlled trial in Uganda. AIDS.


A refined taxonomy of behaviour change techniques to help people change their physical activity and healthy eating behaviours: The CALO-RE taxonomy (2010)

Background: Current reporting of intervention content in published research articles and protocols is generally poor, with great diversity of terminology, resulting in low replicability. This study aimed to extend the scope and improve the reliability of a 26-item taxonomy of behaviour change techniques developed by Abraham and Michie [Abraham, C. and Michie, S. (2008). A taxonomy of behaviour change techniques used in interventions. Health Psychology27(3), 379–387.] in order to optimise the reporting and scientific study of behaviour change interventions. Methods: Three UK study centres collaborated in applying this existing taxonomy to two systematic reviews of interventions to increase physical activity and healthy eating. The taxonomy was refined in iterative steps of (1) coding intervention descriptions, and assessing inter-rater reliability, (2) identifying gaps and problems across study centres and (3) refining the labels and definitions based on consensus discussions. Results: Labels and definitions were improved for all techniques, conceptual overlap between categories was resolved, some categories were split and 14 techniques were added, resulting in a 40-item taxonomy. Inter-rater reliability, assessed on 50 published intervention descriptions, was good (kappa = 0.79). Conclusions: This taxonomy can be used to improve the specification of interventions in published reports, thus improving replication, implementation and evidence syntheses. This will strengthen the scientific study of behaviour change and intervention development.

Michie, S., & Abraham, C. (2004). Interventions to change health behaviours: evidence-based or evidence-inspired? Psychology & Health19(1), 29-49.

Testing whether decision aids introduce cognitive biases: Results of a randomized trial (2010).

Objective: Women at high risk of breast cancer face a difficult decision whether to take medications like tamoxifen to prevent a first breast cancer diagnosis. Decision aids (DAs) offer a promising method of helping them make this decision. But concern lingers that DAs might introduce cognitive biases. Methods: We recruited 663 women at high risk of breast cancer and presented them with a DA designed to experimentally test potential methods of identifying and reducing cognitive biases that could influence this decision, by varying specific aspects of the DA across participants in a factorial design. Results: Participants were susceptible to a cognitive bias – an order effect – such that those who learned first about the risks of tamoxifen thought more favorably of the drug than women who learned first about the benefits. This order effect was eliminated among women who received additional information about competing health risks. Conclusion: We discovered that the order of risk/benefit information influenced women's perceptions of tamoxifen. This bias was eliminated by providing contextual information about competing health risks. Practice implications: We have demonstrated the feasibility of using factorial experimental designs to test whether DAs introduce cognitive biases, and whether specific elements of DAs can reduce such biases.

Ubel, P. A., Smith, D. M., Zikmund-Fisher, B. J., Derry, H. A., McClure, J., Stark, A., ... & Fagerlin, A. (2010). Testing whether decision aids introduce cognitive biases: results of a randomized trial. Patient education and counseling80(2), 158-163.
Overconfidence as a Cause of Diagnostic Error in Medicine (2008).

The great majority of medical diagnoses are made using automatic, efficient cognitive processes, and these diagnoses are correct most of the time. This analytic review concerns the exceptions: the times when these cognitive processes fail and the final diagnosis is missed or wrong. We argue that physicians in general underappreciate the likelihood that their diagnoses are wrong and that this tendency to overconfidence is related to both intrinsic and systemically reinforced factors. We present a comprehensive review of the available literature and current thinking related to these issues. The review covers the incidence and impact of diagnostic error, data on physician overconfidence as a contributing cause of errors, strategies to improve the accuracy of diagnostic decision making, and recommendations for future research.

Berner, E. S., & Graber, M. L. (2008). Overconfidence as a cause of diagnostic error in medicine. The American journal of medicine121(5), S2-S23.

A Meta-analysis of the Effects of Presenting Treatment Benefits in Different Formats (2007)

Purpose: The purpose of this article is to examine the effects of presenting treatment benefits in different formats on the decisions of both patients and health professionals. Three formats were investigated: relative risk reductions, absolute risk reductions, and number needed to treat or screen. Methods: A systematic review of the published literature was conducted. Articles were retrieved by searching a variety of databases and screened for inclusion by 2 reviewers. Data were extracted on characteristics of the subjects and methodologies used. Log-odds ratios were calculated to estimate effect sizes. Results: A total of 24 articles were retrieved that reported on 31 unique experiments. The meta-analysis showed that treatments were evaluated more favorably when the relative risk format was used rather than the absolute risk or number needed to treat format. However, a significant amount of heterogeneity was found between studies, the sources of which were explored using subgroup analyses and meta-regression. Although the subgroup analyses revealed smaller effect sizes in the studies conducted on physicians, the meta-regression showed that these differences were largely accounted for by other features of the study design. Most notably, variations in effect sizes were explained by the particular wordings that the studies had chosen to use for the relative risk and absolute risk reductions. Conclusions: The published literature has consistently demonstrated that relative risk formats produce more favorable evaluations of treatments than absolute risk or number needed to treat formats. However, the effects are heterogeneous and seem to be moderated by key differences between the methodologies used.

Covey, J. (2007). A meta-analysis of the effects of presenting treatment benefits in different formats. Medical Decision Making27(5), 638-654.
Designing and implementing behaviour change interventions to improve population health (2008).

Improved population health depends on changing behaviour: of those who are healthy (e.g. stopping smoking), those who are ill (e.g. adhering to health advice) and those delivering health care. To design more effective behaviour change interventions, we need more investment in developing the scientific methods for studying behaviour change. Behavioural science is relevant to all phases of the process of implementing evidence-based health care: developing evidence through primary studies, synthesizing the findings in systematic reviews, translating evidence into guidelines and practice recommendations, and implementing these in practice. 'Behaviour change: Implementation and Health', the last research programme to be funded within the MRC HSRC, aimed to develop innovative ways of applying theories and techniques of behaviour change to understand and improve the implementation of evidence-based practice, as a key step to improving health. It focused on four areas of study that apply behaviour change theory:defining and developing a taxonomy of behaviour change techniques to allow replication of studies and the possibility of accumulating evidence; conducting systematic reviews, by categorizing and synthesizing interventions on the basis of behaviour change theory; investigating the process by which evidence is translated into guideline recommendations for practice; developing a theoretical framework to apply to understanding implementation problems and designing interventions. This work will contribute to advancing the science of behaviour change by providing tools for conceptualizing and defining intervention content, and linking techniques of behaviour change to their theoretical base.

Michie, S. (2008). Designing and implementing behaviour change interventions to improve population health. Journal of health services research & policy, 13(suppl 3), 64-69.


Medical Decision Making Papers

Making better decisions: From measuring to constructing preferences. Johnson, Steffel & Goldstein (2005).

The authors examine how a constructive preferences perspective might change the prevailing view of medical decision making by suggesting that the methods used to measure preferences for medical treatments can change the preferences that are reported. The authors focus on 2 possible techniques that they believe would result in better outcomes. The 1st is the wise selection of default options. Defaults may be best applied when strong clinical evidence suggests a treatment option to be correct for most people but preserving patient choice is appropriate. The 2nd is the use of environments that explicitly facilitate the optimal construction of preferences. This seems most appropriate when choice depends on a patient's ability to understand and represent probabilities and outcomes. For each technique, the authors describe the background and literature, provide a case study, and discuss applications.

Johnson, E. J., Steffel, M., & Goldstein, D. G. (2005). Making better decisions: from measuring to constructing preferences. Health Psychology, 24(4S), S17. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Daniel_Goldstein3/publication/7701098_Making_Better_Decisions_From_Measuring_to_Constructing_Preferences/links/0deec51791ede6e7d3000000/Making-Better-Decisions-From-Measuring-to-Constructing-Preferences.pdf


Transplantation at the Nexus of Behavioral Economics and Health Care Delivery (2012).

The transplant surgeon's decision to accept and utilize an organ typically is made within a constrained time window, explicitly cognizant of numerous health-related risks and under the potential influence of considerable regulatory and institutional pressures. This decision affects the health of two distinct populations, those patients receiving organ transplants and those waiting to receive a transplant; it also influences the physician's life and their institute's productivity. The numerous, at times nonaligned, incentives established by the complex clinical and regulatory environment, have been derived specifically to influence physicians’ behaviors, and though well intended, may lead to responses that are nonoptimal when considering the myriad stakeholders being influenced. This may compromise the quality of care provided to the population at risk, and has potential to influence the physician–patient relationship. A synergistic collaboration between transplant physicians and economists that is focused on this decision environment may help to alleviate these strains. This viewpoint discusses behavioral economic principles and how they might be applied to transplantation. Specifically, the previous medical decision-making literature on transplantation will be reviewed and a discussion on how a behavioral model of physician decision making can be utilized will be explored. To date this approach has not been integrated into transplantation decision making.

Schnier, K. E., Cox, J. C., McIntyre, C., Ruhil, R., Sadiraj, V., & Turgeon, N. (2013). Transplantation at the nexus of behavioral economics and health care delivery. American Journal of Transplantation13(1), 31-35. Available From: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1600-6143.2012.04343.x/full


The Psychology of Medical Decision Making (2004)

Good decision making is an essential part of good medicine. Patients have to decide what symptoms warrant seeking medical attention and whether to accept the medical advice received. Physicians have to decide what diagnosis is most likely and what treatment plan to recommend. Health policy makers have to decide what health behaviors to encourage and what medical interventions to pay for. The study of the psychology of decision making should therefore have much to offer to the field of medicine. Conversely, medicine should provide a useful test bed for the study of decisions made by experienced decision makers about high-stakes outcomes. The current chapter reviews six intersections between the psychology of decision making and medicine.

Chapman, G. B. (2004). The psychology of medical decision making. 2004). Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making. Malden (MA), Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 585-603. Available from: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.462.603&rep=rep1&type=pdf#page=596


How numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making (2009).

We review the growing literature on health numeracy, the ability to understand and use numerical information, and its relation to cognition, health behaviors, and medical outcomes. Despite the surfeit of health information from commercial and noncommercial sources, national and international surveys show that many people lack basic numerical skills that are essential to maintain their health and make informed medical decisions. Low numeracy distorts perceptions of risks and benefits of screening, reduces medication compliance, impedes access to treatments, impairs risk communication (limiting prevention efforts among the most vulnerable), and, based on the scant research conducted on outcomes, appears to adversely affect medical outcomes. Low numeracy is also associated with greater susceptibility to extraneous factors (i.e., factors that do not change the objective numerical information). That is, low numeracy increases susceptibility to effects of mood or how information is presented (e.g., as frequencies vs. percentages) and to biases in judgment and decision making (e.g., framing and ratio bias effects). Much of this research is not grounded in empirically supported theories of numeracy or mathematical cognition, which are crucial for designing evidence-based policies and interventions that are effective in reducing risk and improving medical decision making. To address this gap, we outline four theoretical approaches (psychophysical, computational, standard dual-process, and fuzzy trace theory), review their implications for numeracy, and point to avenues for future research.

Reyna, V. F., Nelson, W. L., Han, P. K., & Dieckmann, N. F. (2009). How numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making. Psychological bulletin135(6), 943.


Rationality in medical decision making: a review of the literature on doctors’ decision-making biases (2001).

The objectives of this study were to describe ways in which doctors make suboptimal diagnostic and treatment decisions, and to discuss possible means of alleviating those biases, using a review of past studies from the psychological and medical decision-making literatures. A number of biases can affect the ways in which doctors gather and use evidence in making diagnoses. Biases also exist in how doctors make treatment decisions once a definitive diagnosis has been made. These biases are not peculiar to the medical domain but, rather, are manifestations of suboptimal reasoning to which people are susceptible in general. None the less, they can have potentially grave consequences in medical settings, such as erroneous diagnosis or patient mismanagement. No surefire methods exist for eliminating biases in medical decision making, but there is some evidence that the adoption of an evidence-based medicine approach or the incorporation of formal decision analytic tools can improve the quality of doctors’ reasoning. Doctors’ reasoning is vulnerable to a number of biases that can lead to errors in diagnosis and treatment, but there are positive signs that means for alleviating some of these biases are available.

Bornstein, B. H., & Emler, A. C. (2001). Rationality in medical decision making: a review of the literature on doctors’ decision‐making biases. Journal of evaluation in clinical practice7(2), 97-107.

The Beguiling Pursuit of More Information (2001).

Background: The authors tested whether clinicians make different decisions if they pursue information than if they receive the same information from the start. Methods: Three groups of clinicians participated (N = 1206): dialysis nurses (n = 171), practicing urologists (n = 461), and academic physicians (n = 574). Surveys were sent to each group containing medical scenarios formulated in 1 of 2 versions. The simple version of each scenario presented a choice between 2 options. The search version presented the same choice but only after some information had been missing and subsequently obtained. The 2 versions otherwise contained identical data and were randomly assigned. Results: In one scenario involving a personal choice about kidney donation, more dialysis nurses were willing to donate when they first decided to be tested for compatibility and were found suitable than when they knew they were suitable from the start (65% vs. 44%, P =0.007). Similar discrepancies were found in decisions made by practicing urologists concerning surgery for a patient with prostate cancer and in decisions of academic physicians considering emergency management for a patient with acute chest pain. Conclusions: The pursuit of information can increase its salience and cause clinicians to assign more importance to the information than if the same information was immediately available. An awareness of this cognitive bias may lead to improved decision making in difficult medical situations.
Redelmeier, D. A., Shafir, E., & Aujla, P. S. (2001). The beguiling pursuit of more information. Medical Decision Making21(5), 376-381.

Problems for clinical judgement: 5 Principles of influence in medical practice (2002)

THE BASIC SCIENCE OF PSYCHOLOGY HAS IDENTIFIED specific ingrained responses that are fundamental elements of human nature, underpin common influence strategies and may apply in medical settings. People feel a sense of obligation to repay a perceived debt. A request becomes more attractive when preceded by a marginally worse request. The drive to act consistently will persist even if demands escalate. Peer pressure is intense when people face uncertainty. The image of the requester influences the attractiveness of a request. Authorities have power beyond their expertise. Opportunities appear more valuable when they appear less available. These 7 responses were discovered decades ago in psychology research and seem intuitively understood in the business world, but they are rarely discussed in medical texts. An awareness of these principles can provide a framework for physicians to help patients change their behaviour and to understand how others in society sometime alter patients' choices.

Redelmeier, D. A., & Cialdini, R. B. (2002). Problems for clinical judgement: 5. Principles of influence in medical practice. Canadian Medical Association Journal166(13), 1680-1684.

The role of decision analysis in informed consent: Choosing between intuition and systematicity (1997).

An important goal of informed consent is to present information to patients so that they can decide which medical option is best for them, according to their values. Research in cognitive psychology has shown that people are rapidly overwhelmed by having to consider more than a few options in making choices. Decision analysis provides a quantifiable way to assess patients' values, and it eliminates the burden of integrating these values with probabilistic information. In this paper we evaluate the relative importance of intuition and systematicity in informed consent. We point out that there is no gold standard for optimal decision making in decisions that hinge on patient values. We also point out that in some such situations it is too early to assume that the benefits of systematicity outweigh the benefits of intuition. Research is needed to address the question of which situations favor the use of intuitive approaches of decision making and which call for a more systematic approach.

Ubel, P. A., & Loewenstein, G. (1997). The role of decision analysis in informed consent: choosing between intuition and systematicity. Social science & medicine44(5), 647-656.

Medical Decision Making in Situations That Offer Multiple Alternatives (1995).

Objective.  —To determine whether situations involving multiple options can paradoxically influence people to choose an option that would have been declined if fewer options were available. Design.  —Mailed survey containing medical scenarios formulated in one of two versions. Participants.  —Two groups of physicians: members of the Ontario College of Family Physicians (response rate=77%; n=287) and neurologists and neurosurgeons affiliated with the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (response rate=84%; n=352). One group of legislators belonging to the Ontario Provincial Parliament (response rate=32%; n=41). Intervention.  —The basic version of each scenario presented a choice between two options. The expanded version presented three options: the original two plus a third. The two versions otherwise contained identical information and were randomly assigned. Outcome Measures.  —Participants' treatment recommendations. Results.  —In one scenario involving a patient with osteoarthritis, family physicians were less likely to prescribe a medication when deciding between two medications than when deciding about only one medication (53% vs 72%; P<.005). Apparently, the difficulty in deciding between the two medications led some physicians to recommend not starting either. Similar discrepancies were found in decisions made by neurologists and neurosurgeons concerning carotid artery surgery and by legislators concerning hospital closures. Conclusions.  —The introduction of additional options can increase decision difficulty and, hence, the tendency to choose a distinctive option or maintain the status quo. Awareness of this cognitive bias may lead to improved decision making in complex medical situations.

Redelmeier, D. A., & Shafir, E. (1995). Medical decision making in situations that offer multiple alternatives. Jama273(4), 302-305.

Understanding Patients' Decisions: Cognitive and Emotional Perspectives (1993)

Objective.  —To describe ways in which intuitive thought processes and feelings may lead patients to make suboptimal medical decisions. Design.  —Review of past studies from the psychology literature. Results.  —Intuitive decision making is often appropriate and results in reasonable choices; in some situations, however, intuitions lead patients to make choices that are not in their best interests. People sometimes treat safety and danger categorically, undervalue the importance of a partial risk reduction, are influenced by the way in which a problem is framed, and inappropriately evaluate an action by its subsequent outcome. These strategies help explain examples where risk perceptions conflict with standard scientific analyses. In the domain of emotions, people tend to consider losses as more significant than the corresponding gains, are imperfect at predicting future preferences, distort their memories of past personal experiences, have difficulty resolving inconsistencies between emotions and rationality, and worry with an intensity disproportionate to the actual danger. In general, such intangible aspects of clinical care have received little attention in the medical literature. Conclusion.  —We suggest that an awareness of how people reason is an important clinical skill that can be promoted by knowledge of selected past studies in psychology
Redelmeier, D. A., Rozin, P., & Kahneman, D. (1993). Understanding patients' decisions: cognitive and emotional perspectives. Jama270(1), 72-76.

Using Behavioral Economics to Design Physician Incentives That Deliver High-Value Care (2016).

Behavioral economics provides insights about the development of effective incentives for physicians to deliver high-value care. It suggests that the structure and delivery of incentives can shape behavior, as can thoughtful design of the decision-making environment. This article discusses several principles of behavioral economics, including inertia, loss aversion, choice overload, and relative social ranking. Whereas these principles have been applied to motivate personal health decisions, retirement planning, and savings behavior, they have been largely ignored in the design of physician incentive programs. Applying these principles to physician incentives can improve their effectiveness through better alignment with performance goals. Anecdotal examples of successful incentive programs that apply behavioral economics principles are provided, even as the authors recognize that its application to the design of physician incentives is largely untested, and many outstanding questions exist. Application and rigorous evaluation of infrastructure changes and incentives are needed to design payment systems that incentivize high-quality, cost-conscious care.

Emanuel, E. J., Ubel, P. A., Kessler, J. B., Meyer, G., Muller, R. W., Navathe, A. S., ... & Sen, A. P. (2016). Using behavioral economics to design physician incentives that deliver high-value carebehavioral economics, physician incentives, and high-value care. Annals of internal medicine164(2), 114-119.

Promising Approaches From Behavioral Economics to Improve Patient Lung Cancer Screening Decisions (2016).

Lung cancer is a devastating disease, the deadliest form of cancer in the world and in the United States. As a consequence of CMS’s determination to provide low-dose CT (LDCT) as a covered service for at-risk smokers, LDCT lung cancer screening is now a covered service for many at-risk patients that first requires counseling and shared clinical decision making, including discussions of the risks and benefits of LDCT screening. However, shared decision making fundamentally relies on the premise that with better information, patients will arrive at rational decisions that align with their preferences and values. Evidence from the field of behavioral economics offers many contrary viewpoints that take into account patient decision making biases and the role of the shared decision environment that can lead to flawed choices and that are particularly relevant to lung cancer screening and treatment. This article discusses some of the most relevant biases, and suggests incorporating such knowledge into screening and treatment guidelines and shared decision making best practices to increase the likelihood that such efforts will produce their desired objectives to improve survival and quality of life.

Barnes, A. J., Groskaufmanis, L., & Thomson, N. B. (2016). Promising approaches from behavioral economics to improve patient lung cancer screening decisions. Journal of the American College of Radiology13(12), 1566-1570.


Health-Policy Papers

Do Defaults Save Lives? Johnson & Goldstein (2003).

Default options can lead to striking differences in preferences, with significant economic impact. The authors of this Policy Forum use natural and experimental data to examine the impact of simple policy defaults on the decision to become an organ donor, finding large effects that significantly increase donation rates.

Johnson, E. J., & Goldstein, D. (2003). Do defaults save lives?. Science, 302(5649), 1338-1339. Available from https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Daniel_Goldstein3/publication/8996952_Medicine_Do_defaults_save_lives/links/0deec51791ed6cdf2c000000.pdf

Behavioural Insights in Health Care: Nudging to reduce inefficiency & waste (2015)

‘Behavioural insights’ has been described as the ‘application of behavioural science to policy and practice with a focus on (but not exclusively) “automatic” processes’.1 Nudges are a behavioural insights. Nudge-type interventions – approaches that steer people in certain directions while maintaining their freedom of choice2 – recognise that many decisions – and ensuing behaviours – are automatic and not made consciously.3 Nudges have been proposed as an effective way to change behaviour and improve outcomes at lower cost than traditional tools4,5 across a range of policy areas. With health care spending rising and the NHS facing a significant funding gap, it is important to consider ways in which health care might be made more efficient and less wasteful. Given this backdrop, Ipsos MORI was commissioned by the Health Foundation to undertake a quick scoping review, supported and guided by expert interviews, to consider the evidence of and potential for the application of nudge-type interventions to health care for the purpose of improving efficiency and reducing waste.

Perry, C., Chhatralia, K., Damesick, D., Hobden, S., & Volpe, L. (2015). Behavioural insights in health care. London: The Health Foundation, 18-29. Available from http://www.health.org.uk/sites/health/files/BehaviouralInsightsInHealthCare.pdf

Applying behavioral insights simple ways to improve health outcomes (2016).

Applying new insights about behavior can lead to better health outcomes at a lower cost. This report gives an overview of these insights and shows how they can be applied in practice. It has four key messages: 1. In order to improve health outcomes, we need a better understanding of behavior. 2. Behavioral insights offer new solutions to policy problems. 3. Behavioral insights can improve health and healthcare. 4. Trialing interventions brings important advantages. There are many opportunities to improve health and healthcare worldwide by applying behavioral insights. Many of these opportunities can be realized by applying simple tools to make practical changes. We encourage policymakers to use these tools.

Hallsworth, M., Snijders, V., Burd, H., Prestt, J., Judah, G., Huf, S., & Halpern, D. Applying behavioral insights simple ways to improve health outcomes. Available from: http://38r8om2xjhhl25mw24492dir.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/WISH-2016_Behavioral_Insights_Report.pdf

Provision of social norm feedback to high prescribers of antibiotics in general practice: a pragmatic national randomised controlled trial (2016).

Background: Unnecessary antibiotic prescribing contributes to antimicrobial resistance. In this trial, we aimed to reduce unnecessary prescriptions of antibiotics by general practitioners (GPs) in England. Methods: In this randomised, 2 × 2 factorial trial, publicly available databases were used to identify GP practices whose prescribing rate for antibiotics was in the top 20% for their National Health Service (NHS) Local Area Team. Eligible practices were randomly assigned (1:1) into two groups by computer-generated allocation sequence, stratified by NHS Local Area Team. Participants, but not investigators, were blinded to group assignment. On Sept 29, 2014, every GP in the feedback intervention group was sent a letter from England's Chief Medical Officer and a leaflet on antibiotics for use with patients. The letter stated that the practice was prescribing antibiotics at a higher rate than 80% of practices in its NHS Local Area Team. GPs in the control group received no communication. The sample was re-randomised into two groups, and in December, 2014, GP practices were either sent patient-focused information that promoted reduced use of antibiotics or received no communication. The primary outcome measure was the rate of antibiotic items dispensed per 1000 weighted population, controlling for past prescribing. Analysis was by intention to treat. This trial is registered with the ISRCTN registry, number ISRCTN32349954, and has been completed. Findings: Between Sept 8 and Sept 26, 2014, we recruited and assigned 1581 GP practices to feedback intervention (n=791) or control (n=790) groups. Letters were sent to 3227 GPs in the intervention group. Between October, 2014, and March, 2015, the rate of antibiotic items dispensed per 1000 population was 126·98 (95% CI 125·68–128·27) in the feedback intervention group and 131·25 (130·33–132·16) in the control group, a difference of 4·27 (3·3%; incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0·967 [95% CI 0·957–0·977]; p<0·0001), representing an estimated 73 406 fewer antibiotic items dispensed. In December, 2014, GP practices were re-assigned to patient-focused intervention (n=777) or control (n=804) groups. The patient-focused intervention did not significantly affect the primary outcome measure between December, 2014, and March, 2015 (antibiotic items dispensed per 1000 population: 135·00 [95% CI 133·77–136·22] in the patient-focused intervention group and 133·98 [133·06–134·90] in the control group; IRR for difference between groups 1·01, 95% CI 1·00–1·02; p=0·105). Interpretation: Social norm feedback from a high-profile messenger can substantially reduce antibiotic prescribing at low cost and at national scale; this outcome makes it a worthwhile addition to antimicrobial stewardship programmes.

Hallsworth, M., Chadborn, T., Sallis, A., Sanders, M., Berry, D., Greaves, F., ... & Davies, S. C. (2016). Provision of social norm feedback to high prescribers of antibiotics in general practice: a pragmatic national randomised controlled trial. The Lancet, 387(10029), 1743-1752.

The Role of Behavioral Science Theory in Development and Implementation of Public Health Interventions (2010).

Increasing evidence suggests that public health and health-promotion interventions that are based on social and behavioral science theories are more effective than those lacking a theoretical base. This article provides an overview of the state of the science of theory use for designing and conducting health-promotion interventions. Influential contemporary perspectives stress the multiple determinants and multiple levels of determinants of health and health behavior. We describe key types of theory and selected often-used theories and their key concepts, including the health belief model, the transtheoretical model, social cognitive theory, and the ecological model. This summary is followed by a review of the evidence about patterns and effects of theory use in health behavior intervention research. Examples of applied theories in three large public health programs illustrate the feasibility, utility, and challenges of using theory-based interventions. This review concludes by identifying cross-cutting themes and important future directions for bridging the divides between theory, practice, and research.

Glanz, K., & Bishop, D. B. (2010). The role of behavioral science theory in development and implementation of public health interventions. Annual review of public health, 31, 399-418. Available from: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/37c1/2b54a222d381f31bb784d6e9162e36fc3276.pdf

Beyond carrots and sticks: Europeans support health nudges (2017).

All over the world, nations are using “health nudges” to promote healthier food choices and to reduce the health care costs of obesity and non-communicable diseases. In some circles, the relevant reforms are controversial. On the basis of nationally representative online surveys, we examine whether Europeans favour such nudges. The simplest answer is that majorities in six European nations (Denmark, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, and the UK) do so. We find majority approval for a series of nudges, including educational messages in movie theaters, calorie and warning labels, store placement promoting healthier food, sweet-free supermarket cashiers and meat-free days in cafeterias. At the same time, we find somewhat lower approval rates in Hungary and Denmark. An implication for policymakers is that citizens are highly likely to support health nudges. An implication for further research is the importance of identifying the reasons for cross-national differences, where they exist.

Reisch, L. A., Sunstein, C. R., & Gwozdz, W. (2017). Beyond carrots and sticks: Europeans support health nudges. Food Policy69, 1-10.

Applying Behavioral Economics to Public Health Policy: Illustrative Examples and Promising Directions (2016)

Behavioral economics provides an empirically informed perspective on how individuals make decisions, including the important realization that even subtle features of the environment can have meaningful impacts on behavior. This commentary provides examples from the literature and recent government initiatives that incorporate concepts from behavioral economics in order to improve health, decision making, and government efficiency. The examples highlight the potential for behavioral economics to improve the effectiveness of public health policy at low cost. Although incorporating insights from behavioral economics into public health policy has the potential to improve population health, its integration into government public health programs and policies requires careful design and continual evaluation of such interventions. Limitations and drawbacks of the approach are discussed.

Matjasko, J. L., Cawley, J. H., Baker-Goering, M. M., & Yokum, D. V. (2016). Applying behavioral economics to public health policy: illustrative examples and promising directions. American journal of preventive medicine50(5), S13-S19.

Behavioural Insights and Healthier Lives (Halpern, 2016)

Discursive Articles

Voyer, B (2015). Behavioral Economics and Healthcare: A Match Made in Heaven. Available from: https://www.behavioraleconomics.com/behavioural-economics-and-healthcare-a-match-made-in-heaven/.

Loewenstein, G., Asch, D. A., Friedman, J. Y., Melichar, L. A., & Volpp, K. G. (2012). Can behavioural economics make us healthier? BMJ344(7863), 23-25. Available from http://www.cmu.edu/dietrich/sds/docs/loewenstein/CanBEHealthier.pdf

Marteau (2011). Judging nudging: can nudging improve population health? Br. Med. J, 342, 263. Available from: http://www.bmj.com/bmj/sectionpdf/186202?path=/bmj/342/7791/Analysis.full.pdf

Additional Resources

Volpp, K., Loewenstein, G., & Asch, D. (2015). Behavioral economics and health. Health Behavior: Theory, Research, and Practice389.

Sola, D., & Couturier, J., Voyer, B.G. (2015), Unlocking patient activation: Coupling e-health solutions coupled with gamification. British Journal of Healthcare Management, 21 (5), pp 223-228

Glanz, K., Rimer, B. K., & Viswanath, K. (Eds.). (2008). Health behavior and health education: theory, research, and practice. John Wiley & Sons. Available online from: http://202.74.245.22:8080/xmlui/bitstream/handle/123456789/362/Health%20behavior%20and%20health%20education%20by%20Karen%20Glanz.pdf?sequence=1

Behavioural Insights Team Blog Health Section: http://www.behaviouralinsights.co.uk/category/health/

Chapman, G. B., & Elstein, A. S. (2000). Cognitive processes and biases in medical decision making. Decision making in health care: Theory, psychology, and applications, 183-210.